Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.942950 14.594744 16.494423 18.868995 21.798832 25.352395 30.080764
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.841646 12.821073 15.276670 18.628926 23.226492 29.546542 39.370969
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.638225 11.769083 14.554248 18.606921 24.634750 33.820246 50.252381
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.871126 11.111481 14.165988 18.854932 26.344347 38.909430 64.846389
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.052503 10.261391 13.361531 18.303947 26.621915 41.653168 76.629451
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.528269 9.752583 12.962998 18.276309 27.708811 46.163054 95.483927
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.936338 9.084974 12.245160 17.611413 27.503573 48.020838 109.218935
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.361353 8.394060 11.422378 16.656737 26.565059 48.005075 117.592081
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.901691 7.841175 10.765253 15.904233 25.880879 48.380531 128.034096
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.049862 8.210285 11.590791 17.855376 31.071277 65.483927 237.166580
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.956921 8.196550 11.787931 18.686760 34.121470 78.964819 386.809611
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.603896 7.746946 11.212296 17.952323 33.349072 79.935551 446.262215
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.358329 7.470319 10.937648 17.837178 34.223398 87.854806 656.522214
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.114796 7.182072 10.620193 17.597847 34.748712 95.105648 988.187170
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.926227 6.971286 10.420831 17.575930 35.858702 105.967514 1823.168733
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.788971 6.836045 10.344117 17.803304 37.745398 122.768500 5430.169724
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.565367 6.542705 9.955991 17.297623 37.350315 127.461346 12023.515814
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.421172 6.376204 9.790513 17.272239 38.439963 142.540639 477040.955526
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.214854 6.093297 9.388486 16.661128 37.522487 143.943004 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.988540 5.767275 8.888710 15.781987 35.577962 136.877540 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.797490 5.495599 8.480148 15.087581 34.154292 133.001560 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.909069 5.752566 9.095420 16.885468 41.785158 216.638956 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.892352 5.782371 9.271210 17.649015 46.163627 295.128711 NaN